中国与欧盟联盟能力分析

作者：老军001

编者按：中国未来联盟道路分析这个专辑包含的内容有：第一集：序言，联盟的理论基础；第二集：中国向南联盟战略分析；第三集：中国向北联盟战略分析；第四集：中国向西联盟战略分析；第五集：中国向东联盟战略分析；第六集：中国在亚洲联盟一体化的地位分析；第七集：中国与欧盟联盟能力分析；第八集：中国与非洲联盟能力分析；第九集：中国与美洲联盟能力分析；第十集：中国寻找联盟国最佳道路分析；第十一集：未来联盟理论发展分析；

本集写中国与欧盟联盟能力分析，欧盟的欧元区是世界第一大经济体，占世界贸易三分之一，欧盟也是中国的第一大贸易国，占中国海外贸易的将近三分之一，中国制造的日常用品已经摆满了欧盟的超市，欧盟也有中国的很多投资和收购企业，还有一些研发中心，被媒体炒作最热的就是吉利收购沃尔沃，其实这样的案例是很多的，这里老军001给你一个几年前的数据，中国在2005年前其实就成功的收购德国300家企业，现在的数据还没有官方公布，不过大家可以看出这个趋势来，中欧经济已经联通一体了。

只是在人家的地盘，必须遵守人家的经济法律和游戏规则，来硬的不行，这也是老军001说的在别人的本土实施跟随外交理念，中国要做的东西只有共赢，赚钱，或者学习人家的技术和管理，然后带动国内整体产业经济的升级，太多的奢望和政治诉求人家是不给你的，当然正常法律上的权利人家也会给你，纵观全局的说，中欧联盟只限于在经济层面，军事上层面，人家有北约联盟呢，也不会与你合作，何况还有美国干涉，所以中欧合作只能在于赚钱和学技术上，还有就是打造人民币的国际化，需要得到欧元区的支持，老军001认为欧元区也会支持人民币国际化的，因为人民币的壮大也有利于欧元的发展，这就是三角平衡之策。

 现在中国人民币的国际化就差人民币资本自由贸易回流机制了，现在的中国正在逐步扩大人民币的贸易圈，中国企业已经开始全盘接纳人民币贸易了，这就为在两三年内实现人民币自由回流机制的完善，打下了很好的基础，可以说中国有了欧元区的支持，未来三五年内，中欧美的美元，欧元，人民币的三足鼎立局面成矣。

      所以我们最近还是要与欧盟一条心的，为的做大我们的国际货币人民币的贸易圈，未来随着我们的强大，欧元与人民币平等贸易额了，就可以说到了中欧基本上平起平坐的时候了，现在我们还要努力哟。到中欧平起平坐的时候，就该寻求新的联盟战略了，到时老军001再给大家分析。

                           老军001写于2011年10月26日

China and the European Union alliance capability analysis

Author: old solider 001

This episode write China and the European Union alliance capability analysis, the eurozone is the world largest economy, accounting for one third of world trade, the European Union is also China's first big trading nation, of China's overseas trade of nearly a third, made in China Daily goods have filled up with the eu's supermarket, the European Union also has many Chinese investment and acquisition enterprise, and some research and development center, was the hottest media hype is jili takeover Volvo , actually such case is a lot of, the old solider001 here to give you A few years ago of data, in China 2005 years ago is successful purchase German 300 enterprises, now of the data is not official, but we can see that the trend, Bilateral economy has unicom one.

Just in the somebody else's territory and must abide by the law and economy to the rules of the game, to hard not line, this is old solider 001 in someone else's native said implementation of foreign ideas with, China to do things only to win-win, make money, or learning a somebody else of technology and management, and then lead domestic whole industry economic upgrades, too many expect and political pursuit the somebody else is not give you of, of course, the normal legal rights the somebody else would also give you, overall, central Europe union only limited economic level, the military level, the somebody else to have NATO alliance, it won't work with you, how much more will have us interference in, so central cooperation is to make money and to learn only on technology, and it is also make the internationalization of the yuan, need to get the support of the euro zone, the old solider001 that the euro zone will support RMB internationalization, because the yuan to the development of the euro and also, this is the strategy of triangle balance.

Now the Chinese yuan is the difference of the internationalization of the capital free trade backflow mechanism, now of the China is gradually expanding the yuan trade circles, Chinese enterprises have begun to completely accept RMB trade, it is in two or three years make the yuan free backflow mechanism consummation, and to lay a good foundation, it can be said that China has the support of the euro zone, the future 3or5 years, dollar, euro, the yuan's situation will do.

So we recently with the European Union or bodies to do big our international currency RMB trade circles, the future with our powerful, the euro and the renminbi equality trade, they can say to China-Europe basically equal time, now we also strive to go. To China Europe equal, it is time to seek the new coalition strategy, when the old solider001 to everyone again analysis.

Old solider 001 written on October 26, 2011